Proyecciones · Serie A

10.000 simulaciones de los partidos restantes · modelo Poisson · Dixon-Coles · actualizado el 12 de octubre de 2026

Equipo	Pos. media	Campeón	Champions	Europa L.	Conference	Descenso
Roma	1.2	85.8%	99.9%	0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
Inter Milan	3	7.4%	87.4%	6.7%	3.5%	<0.1%
Lazio	3.3	4.8%	83%	9.3%	4.6%	<0.1%
AC Milan	4	1.8%	69.4%	15.1%	7.9%	<0.1%
Napoli	6.3	0.1%	17.8%	18.4%	18.7%	<0.1%
Juventus	6.4	0.1%	16.3%	17%	18.7%	<0.1%
Como	6.8	0.1%	11.1%	13.7%	17.8%	<0.1%
Cagliari	6.9	<0.1%	11%	12.6%	16.4%	<0.1%
Frosinone	8.1	<0.1%	3.8%	6.2%	10%	<0.1%
Atalanta	10.2	<0.1%	0.1%	0.5%	1.1%	<0.1%
Sassuolo	10.3	<0.1%	0.1%	0.5%	1.2%	<0.1%
Udinese	13.3	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	2.3%
Bologna	13.4	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	2.2%
Monza	14.6	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	8.4%
Torino	14.9	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	10.4%
Lecce	15.7	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	20.1%
Parma	17.1	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	47.2%
Genoa	17.5	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	55.3%
Fiorentina	17.5	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	57%
Venezia	19.7	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	97.2%

Probabilidades por posición final de tabla (los cupos europeos reales pueden variar por copas y coeficiente UEFA). Calendario restante reconstruido todos-contra-todos (la fuente no publica fixtures). Datos de temporada: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Análisis informativo: no garantiza resultados.