Proyecciones · Serie A

10.000 simulaciones de los partidos restantes · modelo Poisson · Dixon-Coles · actualizado el 20 de julio de 2026

Equipo	Pos. media	Campeón	Champions	Europa L.	Conference	Descenso
Inter Milan	1.6	65.4%	97.2%	1.7%	0.8%	<0.1%
Como	3.3	12.3%	77.3%	11.4%	6.3%	<0.1%
Roma	3.6	11.1%	72.6%	12.6%	7.5%	<0.1%
Juventus	4.1	6.4%	61.9%	16.1%	11%	<0.1%
Napoli	5	3.2%	42.2%	18.8%	16.3%	<0.1%
AC Milan	6.1	1%	25.3%	16.3%	18.6%	0.1%
Atalanta	6.8	0.6%	17.6%	13.5%	18%	0.1%
Venezia	10	<0.1%	2.6%	3.3%	6.5%	2%
Lazio	11.4	<0.1%	0.8%	1.6%	3.6%	5%
Monza	11.7	<0.1%	0.7%	1.3%	3.1%	6%
Bologna	12.2	<0.1%	0.6%	1%	2.4%	7.4%
Frosinone	12.4	<0.1%	0.4%	0.9%	1.7%	8.3%
Fiorentina	13.5	<0.1%	0.2%	0.5%	0.9%	14.1%
Sassuolo	13.7	<0.1%	0.1%	0.3%	1%	15.8%
Udinese	13.7	<0.1%	0.2%	0.4%	0.9%	15.9%
Genoa	14.1	<0.1%	0.1%	0.2%	0.6%	19.6%
Cagliari	14.3	<0.1%	0.1%	0.2%	0.6%	20.6%
Torino	16	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.1%	38.4%
Parma	18	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	69.5%
Lecce	18.4	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	77.2%

Probabilidades por posición final de tabla (los cupos europeos reales pueden variar por copas y coeficiente UEFA). Calendario restante reconstruido todos-contra-todos (la fuente no publica fixtures). Datos de temporada: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Análisis informativo: no garantiza resultados.