Proyecciones · Premier League

10.000 simulaciones de los partidos restantes · modelo Poisson · Dixon-Coles · actualizado el 12 de octubre de 2026

Equipo	Pos. media	Campeón	Champions	Europa L.	Conference	Descenso
Brighton & Hove Albion	1.4	58%	100%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
Manchester City	1.6	41.6%	100%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
Arsenal	4.2	0.2%	66.7%	15.3%	9.3%	<0.1%
Brentford	4.4	0.1%	61.8%	17.8%	10.2%	<0.1%
Everton	5.8	<0.1%	27.4%	21%	19%	<0.1%
Leeds United	5.9	<0.1%	25%	19.9%	19.9%	<0.1%
Hull City	7.1	<0.1%	10.6%	12.4%	17.2%	<0.1%
Chelsea	7.8	<0.1%	6.2%	8.3%	12.6%	<0.1%
Liverpool	9.4	<0.1%	1.1%	2.4%	5.1%	<0.1%
Newcastle United	9.7	<0.1%	1%	2.1%	4.2%	<0.1%
Manchester United	10.9	<0.1%	0.1%	0.5%	1.6%	0.1%
Ipswich Town	11.8	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.2%	0.6%	0.3%
Crystal Palace	12.3	<0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.3%	0.8%
Nottingham Forest	14.2	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	4.8%
Fulham	15.6	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	15.5%
Sunderland	16.2	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	26.3%
Aston Villa	16.3	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	27.3%
Bournemouth	17.3	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	53.6%
Tottenham Hotspur	18	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	71.5%
Coventry City	19.9	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	99.8%

Probabilidades por posición final de tabla (los cupos europeos reales pueden variar por copas y coeficiente UEFA). Calendario restante reconstruido todos-contra-todos (la fuente no publica fixtures). Datos de temporada: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Análisis informativo: no garantiza resultados.