Proyecciones · Premier League

10.000 simulaciones de los partidos restantes · modelo Poisson · Dixon-Coles · actualizado el 20 de julio de 2026

Equipo	Pos. media	Campeón	Champions	Europa L.	Conference	Descenso
Arsenal	1.4	64.7%	99.6%	0.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%
Manchester City	2	31.9%	97.7%	1.1%	0.6%	<0.1%
Manchester United	4.5	2.4%	66%	10.6%	7.4%	0.2%
Liverpool	7.3	0.3%	29.4%	12.9%	10%	1.6%
Brighton & Hove Albion	7.8	0.2%	23.8%	12.2%	10.7%	2.2%
Brentford	8.4	0.1%	20.2%	10.5%	10.4%	3%
Chelsea	10.5	<0.1%	9.7%	6.6%	7.1%	8.3%
Coventry City	10.5	<0.1%	9.1%	6.9%	7.3%	8.4%
Aston Villa	11.1	<0.1%	7.2%	5.7%	6.3%	10.2%
Nottingham Forest	11.3	<0.1%	6.6%	5%	6.1%	10.7%
Hull City	11.6	<0.1%	5.7%	4.9%	5.7%	12%
Ipswich Town	11.6	0.1%	6.1%	5.1%	5.5%	12.8%
Bournemouth	11.9	<0.1%	5.2%	4.6%	5.2%	13.9%
Everton	12.4	<0.1%	4.1%	3.5%	4.6%	16.1%
Tottenham Hotspur	13.2	<0.1%	3.1%	2.8%	3.5%	20.5%
Fulham	13.6	<0.1%	2.3%	2.2%	3%	24.2%
Newcastle United	13.8	<0.1%	1.9%	2.2%	3.2%	26%
Leeds United	14.9	<0.1%	1.3%	1.6%	1.6%	34%
Sunderland	15.9	<0.1%	0.6%	0.8%	1.1%	44.9%
Crystal Palace	16.5	<0.1%	0.3%	0.6%	0.8%	51.2%

Probabilidades por posición final de tabla (los cupos europeos reales pueden variar por copas y coeficiente UEFA). Calendario restante reconstruido todos-contra-todos (la fuente no publica fixtures). Datos de temporada: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Análisis informativo: no garantiza resultados.