Proyecciones · Ligue 1

10.000 simulaciones de los partidos restantes · modelo Poisson · Dixon-Coles · actualizado el 12 de octubre de 2026

Equipo	Pos. media	Campeón	Champions	Europa L.	Conference	Descenso
Lyon	2.1	46.3%	84.6%	8.1%	4.1%	<0.1%
Monaco	3.2	19.2%	61.2%	15.7%	10.9%	<0.1%
Lille	3.5	14.9%	54.5%	17.9%	13%	<0.1%
Paris FC	3.5	13.8%	54.8%	18.1%	12.6%	<0.1%
Rennes	5.6	2.6%	17.1%	12.9%	17.6%	<0.1%
Paris Saint-Germain	5.9	1.5%	12.8%	11.6%	16.6%	<0.1%
Brest	5.9	1.7%	13.3%	12.5%	17.3%	<0.1%
Lens	9.1	0.1%	0.9%	1.2%	3.2%	0.4%
Marseille	9.6	<0.1%	0.5%	1.1%	2.4%	0.6%
Lorient	10.3	<0.1%	0.2%	0.4%	1.2%	1.1%
Strasbourg	11.3	<0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.6%	3.6%
Le Mans	11.8	<0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.3%	4.7%
Nice	12.7	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.1%	8.3%
Toulouse	13.1	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.1%	13.1%
Angers	13.4	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	14.8%
Auxerre	16.1	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	76.6%
Le Havre	16.1	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	77.1%
Troyes	17.9	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	99.8%

Probabilidades por posición final de tabla (los cupos europeos reales pueden variar por copas y coeficiente UEFA). Calendario restante reconstruido todos-contra-todos (la fuente no publica fixtures). Datos de temporada: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Análisis informativo: no garantiza resultados.